Data notes, models and stories

The Data Notebook

A home for model experiments, production lessons, and the kind of data stories that start in a notebook and end in a dashboard.

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First Posts in the Queue

A preview of articles moving from working notebooks into polished, shareable pieces.

Markov chains
Markov Models

Markov Chains And The Art Of Next Best Move

Data Science · Probability

A walk through Markov chains, transition matrices, and how state‑based thinking can power real‑world decision systems — from customer journeys to maintenance schedules.

Preview Outline
Ensemble models
Ensemble Modelling

Why One Model Is Rarely Enough

Machine Learning · Ensembles

From bagging and boosting to stacking — ensemble modelling as a team sport for algorithms, where combining slightly imperfect players often beats the star model.

See Draft Topics
Bayesian statistics
Bayesian Thinking

Bayesian Intuition For Everyday Decisions

Statistics · Reasoning

Turning priors, likelihoods, and posteriors into something human — a practical look at Bayesian statistics as a way to update beliefs, not just a textbook footnote.

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Before the posts land

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